Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 14

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

YES Price
$0.41
40.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.59
59.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 26.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.59. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $695. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 94%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
102
Annualized
94%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$61.4K
Liquidity
$1.9K
Smart Money Size
$695
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.41 (40.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.59 (59.5% implied probability). The market has $61K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $695. The alpha score is 14 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 14 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 26.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score14
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date6/30/2026

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