Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
💼BusinessAlpha: 0

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

YES Price
$0.96
96.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.04
4.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength47% NO

15 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 47% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $6.4K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 32
% Edge
32%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
15

Alpha Signal: HOLD

15 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (47%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$57.7K
Liquidity
$15.9K
Smart Money Size
$6.4K
Consensus Strength
47%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.96 (96.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.04 (4.0% implied probability). The market has $58K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?"?

15 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 47% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $6.4K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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