Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 1

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

YES Price
$0.42
42.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.57
57.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

34 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $34.8K. With 57 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
57
Annualized
Smart Wallets
34

Alpha Signal: HOLD

34 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$752.1K
Liquidity
$56.9K
Smart Money Size
$34.8K
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.42 (42.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.57 (57.5% implied probability). The market has $752K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?"?

34 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $34.8K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score1
End Date5/15/2026

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