Will Iran strike Syria in March?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 5

Will Iran strike Syria in March?

YES Price
$0.05
4.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% NO

20 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting NO. This creates a 1.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.95. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $10.4K. Resolution is 10 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 31
% Edge
31%
Days Left
10
Annualized
46%
Smart Wallets
20

Alpha Signal: HOLD

20 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$59.3K
Liquidity
$10.3K
Smart Money Size
$10.4K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Iran strike Syria in March?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (4.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.3% implied probability). The market has $59K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Iran strike Syria in March?"?

20 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $10.4K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 1.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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