Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
💼BusinessSTRONG YESAlpha: 76

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

YES Price
$0.61
61.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.39
39.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength86% YES

7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 86% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 37.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.61. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.6K. An alpha score of 76 signals strong smart money interest relative to the broader market. With 56 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 241%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 31
% Edge
31%
Days Left
56
Annualized
241%
Smart Wallets
7

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

7 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (86%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$2.0K
Smart Money Size
$1.6K
Consensus Strength
86%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.61 (61.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.39 (39.0% implied probability). The market has $13K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 86% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.6K. The alpha score is 76 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 76 out of 100, which indicates strong smart money interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 37.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score76
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date6/30/2026

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