Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Smart Money Analysis
65 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 78% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $46.3K. Resolution is 9 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 35Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
65 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (78%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (98.0% implied probability). The market has $795K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?"?â–¾
65 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 78% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $46.3K. The alpha score is 33 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 33 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.