Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

YES Price
$0.14
14.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.85
85.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength40% NO

15 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 40% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.1K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
15

Alpha Signal: HOLD

15 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (40%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$43.8K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Smart Money Size
$3.1K
Consensus Strength
40%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (14.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.85 (85.5% implied probability). The market has $44K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?"?

15 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 40% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.1K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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