Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on March 26?
Smart Money Analysis
4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 69% consensus betting NO. This creates a 4.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.91. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.3K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 14Alpha Signal: HOLD
4 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (69%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on March 26?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.09 (9.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.91 (91.0% implied probability). The market has $3K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on March 26?"?â–¾
4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 69% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.3K. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 4.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.