Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 5

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

YES Price
$0.07
7.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.93
92.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength63% NO

8 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 63% consensus betting NO. This creates a 3.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.93. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $15.4K. With 57 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 21
% Edge
21%
Days Left
57
Annualized
21%
Smart Wallets
8

Alpha Signal: HOLD

8 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (63%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$278.7K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Smart Money Size
$15.4K
Consensus Strength
63%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.07 (7.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.93 (92.5% implied probability). The market has $279K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?"?

8 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 63% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $15.4K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 3.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date6/30/2026

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