Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 3

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

YES Price
$0.95
95.3% implied probability
NO Price
$0.05
4.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 64.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.05. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $511.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
600
Annualized
39%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Smart Money Size
$511
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.95 (95.3% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.05 (4.8% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $511. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 64.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date1/1/2028

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Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire