Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch
Smart Money Analysis
4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 63% consensus betting YES. This creates a notable 19.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.70. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $9.4K. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 991%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 41Alpha Signal: HOLD
4 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (63%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.70 (70.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.30 (30.0% implied probability). The market has $19K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch"?â–¾
4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 63% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $9.4K. The alpha score is 15 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 15 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 19.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.