US strike on Colombia by December 31?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 8

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

YES Price
$0.22
22.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.78
78.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

12 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 13.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.78. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $22.9K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 11
% Edge
11%
Days Left
286
Annualized
17%
Smart Wallets
12

Alpha Signal: HOLD

12 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$415.3K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Smart Money Size
$22.9K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.22 (22.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.78 (78.0% implied probability). The market has $415K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?

12 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $22.9K. The alpha score is 8 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 8 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 13.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score8
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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