Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 23

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

YES Price
$0.66
65.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.34
34.2% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength55% NO

67 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 55% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 44.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.34. Smart money has committed $257.3K in total exposure to this market. Resolution is 10 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 55
% Edge
55%
Days Left
10
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
67

Alpha Signal: HOLD

67 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (55%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$9.2M
Liquidity
$96.8K
Smart Money Size
$257.3K
Consensus Strength
55%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.66 (65.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.34 (34.2% implied probability). The market has $9.2M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?"?

67 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 55% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $257.3K. The alpha score is 23 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 23 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 44.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score23
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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