Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 1

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

YES Price
$0.20
19.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.81
80.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

103 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $106.3K in total exposure to this market. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 35
% Edge
35%
Days Left
11
Annualized
Smart Wallets
103

Alpha Signal: HOLD

103 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$3.3M
Liquidity
$56.8K
Smart Money Size
$106.3K
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will another country strike Iran by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.20 (19.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.81 (80.5% implied probability). The market has $3.3M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will another country strike Iran by March 31?"?

103 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $106.3K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score1
End Date3/31/2026

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