Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 4

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

YES Price
$0.48
48.1% implied probability
NO Price
$0.52
51.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength58% NO

12 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 58% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 31.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.52. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $7.0K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 19
% Edge
19%
Days Left
235
Annualized
49%
Smart Wallets
12

Alpha Signal: HOLD

12 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (58%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$89.1K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Smart Money Size
$7.0K
Consensus Strength
58%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.48 (48.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.52 (51.8% implied probability). The market has $89K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

12 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 58% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $7.0K. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 31.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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