MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
CryptoLEAN YESAlpha: 10

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

YES Price
$0.43
43.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.56
56.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% YES

5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 37.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.43. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.1K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 134%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 22
% Edge
22%
Days Left
102
Annualized
134%
Smart Wallets
5

Alpha Signal: HOLD

5 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$73.8K
Liquidity
$21.7K
Smart Money Size
$5.1K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.43 (43.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.56 (56.5% implied probability). The market has $74K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?"?

5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.1K. The alpha score is 10 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 10 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 37.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score10
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date7/1/2026

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