Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Smart Money Analysis
19 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 58% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 31.9% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.52. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.1K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 27Alpha Signal: HOLD
19 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (58%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.52 (51.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.48 (48.5% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET"?▾
19 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 58% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.1K. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 31.9% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.