Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?

YES Price
$0.03
2.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
97.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength40% NO

5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 40% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $871. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
5

Alpha Signal: HOLD

5 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (40%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$19.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Smart Money Size
$871
Consensus Strength
40%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (2.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (97.3% implied probability). The market has $19K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?"?

5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 40% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $871. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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