Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?
SportsLEAN NOAlpha: 71d left

Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?

YES Price
$0.49
49.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.51
50.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength61% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 61% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 32.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.51. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $8.6K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 32
% Edge
32%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (61%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$13.4K
Liquidity
$112.6K
Smart Money Size
$8.6K
Consensus Strength
61%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.49 (49.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.51 (50.5% implied probability). The market has $13K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 61% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $8.6K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 32.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategorySports
Alpha Score7
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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Will Peru win on 2026-03-31? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire