Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 2

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

YES Price
$0.89
88.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.12
11.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength56% YES

34 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 56% consensus betting YES. This creates a 6.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.89. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $15.7K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
651
Annualized
3%
Smart Wallets
34

Alpha Signal: HOLD

34 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (56%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$54.6K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Smart Money Size
$15.7K
Consensus Strength
56%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.89 (88.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.12 (11.5% implied probability). The market has $55K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?"?

34 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 56% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $15.7K. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 6.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score2
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2027

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