Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

YES Price
$0.41
40.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.59
59.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength43% NO

21 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 43% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $79.2K. With 22 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 28
% Edge
28%
Days Left
22
Annualized
Smart Wallets
21

Alpha Signal: HOLD

21 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (43%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$371.0K
Liquidity
$47.8K
Smart Money Size
$79.2K
Consensus Strength
43%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.41 (40.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.59 (59.5% implied probability). The market has $371K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?"?

21 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 43% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $79.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/12/2026

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