Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

YES Price
$0.77
76.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.23
23.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $848. With 40 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 17
% Edge
17%
Days Left
40
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: HOLD

2 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$11.1K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Smart Money Size
$848
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.77 (76.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.23 (23.5% implied probability). The market has $11K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?"?â–¾

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $848. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date4/30/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire