Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
💼BusinessAlpha: 0

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026

YES Price
$0.04
4.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.96
95.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.4K. Resolution is 10 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 28
% Edge
28%
Days Left
10
Annualized
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$19.2K
Liquidity
$4.6K
Smart Money Size
$3.4K
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.04 (4.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.96 (95.5% implied probability). The market has $19K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.4K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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