Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 127d left

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)

YES Price
$0.78
78.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.22
22.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a notable 13.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.78. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $558. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 699%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 35
% Edge
35%
Days Left
7
Annualized
699%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Smart Money Size
$558
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.78 (78.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.22 (22.0% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)"?â–¾

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $558. The alpha score is 12 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 12 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 13.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score12
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date3/29/2026

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Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29) — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire