Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
SportsSTRONG NOAlpha: 25

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

YES Price
$0.20
20.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.80
79.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% NO

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 18.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.80. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $53. With 58 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 116%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 28
% Edge
28%
Days Left
58
Annualized
116%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

1 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$30.6K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Smart Money Size
$53
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.20 (20.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.80 (79.5% implied probability). The market has $31K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?"?

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $53. The alpha score is 25 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 25 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 18.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategorySports
Alpha Score25
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date5/16/2026

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