Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

YES Price
$0.24
24.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.76
75.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength43% NO

5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 43% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $948. With 32 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 21
% Edge
21%
Days Left
32
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
5

Alpha Signal: HOLD

5 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (43%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$5.4K
Liquidity
$19.7K
Smart Money Size
$948
Consensus Strength
43%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.24 (24.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.76 (75.5% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?"?â–¾

5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 43% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $948. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date5/31/2026

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Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire