Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 94.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.03. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 121%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 21Alpha Signal: BUY_YES
1 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (3.3% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (96.7% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?"?â–¾
1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 94.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.