Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22?
🔬ScienceSTRONG YESAlpha: 21d left

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22?

YES Price
$0.07
7.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.93
92.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 90.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.07. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $166. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

1 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.0K
Liquidity
$672.72
Smart Money Size
$166
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.07 (7.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.93 (92.5% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22?"?

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $166. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 90.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score2
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date3/22/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire