🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG NOAlpha: 0

Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?

YES Price
$0.88
88.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.12
12.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% NO

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 86.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.12. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $600. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 139%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
226
Annualized
139%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

1 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$600.4
Liquidity
$14.3K
Smart Money Size
$600
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.88 (88.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.12 (12.0% implied probability). The market has $1K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?"?â–¾

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $600. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 86.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date11/3/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire