Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLEAN YESAlpha: 7

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES Price
$0.03
3.2% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
96.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% YES

14 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 65.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.03. Smart money has committed $220.9K in total exposure to this market. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 197%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 34
% Edge
34%
Days Left
122
Annualized
197%
Smart Wallets
14

Alpha Signal: HOLD

14 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$6.9M
Liquidity
$546.7K
Smart Money Size
$220.9K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (3.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (96.8% implied probability). The market has $6.9M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

14 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $220.9K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 65.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategorySports
Alpha Score7
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date7/20/2026

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