Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $99. With 40 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 21Alpha Signal: HOLD
2 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.39 (39.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.61 (61.0% implied probability). The market has $7K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?"?▾
2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $99. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.