US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Smart Money Analysis
52 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 62% consensus betting NO. This creates a 1.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.95. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $33.4K. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 31Alpha Signal: HOLD
52 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (62%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (4.9% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.2% implied probability). The market has $441K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?"?▾
52 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 62% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $33.4K. The alpha score is 9 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 9 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 1.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.