Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

YES Price
$0.22
22.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.78
78.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength54% NO

13 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 54% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $16.0K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 7
% Edge
7%
Days Left
235
Annualized
Smart Wallets
13

Alpha Signal: HOLD

13 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (54%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$218.2K
Liquidity
$29.0K
Smart Money Size
$16.0K
Consensus Strength
54%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.22 (22.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.78 (78.0% implied probability). The market has $218K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?"?

13 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 54% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $16.0K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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