Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 16

Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?

YES Price
$0.64
63.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.36
36.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 42.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.36. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $903. Resolution is 8 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 41
% Edge
41%
Days Left
8
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$781.53
Smart Money Size
$903
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.64 (63.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.36 (36.5% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?"?â–¾

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $903. The alpha score is 16 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 16 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 42.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score16
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date4/29/2026

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Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire