Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 13?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 21d left

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 13?

YES Price
$0.97
97.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.03
3.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a 0.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.97. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $461. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 13
% Edge
13%
Days Left
1
Annualized
49%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Smart Money Size
$461
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 13?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.97 (97.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.03 (3.0% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 13?"?â–¾

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $461. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 0.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score2
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date4/13/2026

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Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 13? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire