Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 75% consensus betting YES. This creates a notable 14.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.84. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.5K.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 11Alpha Signal: BUY_YES
4 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (75%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.84 (83.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.16 (16.3% implied probability). The market has $44K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?"?▾
4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 75% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.5K. The alpha score is 11 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 11 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 14.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.