Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

YES Price
$0.39
39.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.61
61.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength52% NO

19 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $12.4K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 4
% Edge
4%
Days Left
103
Annualized
Smart Wallets
19

Alpha Signal: HOLD

19 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$483.2K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Smart Money Size
$12.4K
Consensus Strength
52%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.39 (39.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.61 (61.0% implied probability). The market has $483K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?

19 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $12.4K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date6/30/2026

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