Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
💼BusinessSTRONG YESAlpha: 5

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

YES Price
$0.05
4.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.2% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 93.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.05. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.5K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 52%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 22
% Edge
22%
Days Left
651
Annualized
52%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

6 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$28.8K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Smart Money Size
$2.5K
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (4.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.2% implied probability). The market has $29K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.5K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 93.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score5
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date12/31/2027

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