Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 17

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

YES Price
$0.02
2.2% implied probability
NO Price
$0.98
97.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength73% NO

11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 73% consensus betting NO. This creates a 0.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.98. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $17.6K. Resolution is 14 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 31
% Edge
31%
Days Left
14
Annualized
5%
Smart Wallets
11

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

11 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (73%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$162.3K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Smart Money Size
$17.6K
Consensus Strength
73%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.8% implied probability). The market has $162K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?"?

11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 73% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $17.6K. The alpha score is 17 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 17 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 0.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score17
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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