Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 57d left

Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?

YES Price
$0.04
3.6% implied probability
NO Price
$0.96
96.4% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a 0.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.96. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $352. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
7
Annualized
29%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$23.1K
Smart Money Size
$352
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.04 (3.6% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.96 (96.4% implied probability). The market has $3K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?"?â–¾

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $352. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 0.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date5/15/2026

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Will Trump insult MBS by May 15? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire