US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

YES Price
$0.54
54.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.46
46.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

37 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $100.3K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
103
Annualized
Smart Wallets
37

Alpha Signal: HOLD

37 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$100.8K
Smart Money Size
$100.3K
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.54 (54.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.46 (46.0% implied probability). The market has $1.3M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?"?

37 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $100.3K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date6/30/2026

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