Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 5

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

YES Price
$0.08
8.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.92
92.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength71% YES

7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 71% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 90.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.08. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.2K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 81%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 29
% Edge
29%
Days Left
405
Annualized
81%
Smart Wallets
7

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

7 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (71%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$255.1K
Liquidity
$52.3K
Smart Money Size
$5.2K
Consensus Strength
71%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.08 (8.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.92 (92.0% implied probability). The market has $255K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 71% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.2K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 90.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date4/30/2027

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