Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Smart Money Analysis
11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 64% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 58.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.14. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.0K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 301%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 35Alpha Signal: HOLD
11 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (64%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (13.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.5% implied probability). The market has $126K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?"?▾
11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 64% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.0K. The alpha score is 16 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 16 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 58.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.