Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Smart Money Analysis
9 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a notable 14.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.77. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $7.5K.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 12Alpha Signal: HOLD
9 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.77 (77.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.23 (23.0% implied probability). The market has $129K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?"?▾
9 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $7.5K. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 14.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.