Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 4

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

YES Price
$0.82
82.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.17
17.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% NO

10 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 55.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.17. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.6K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 71%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
287
Annualized
71%
Smart Wallets
10

Alpha Signal: HOLD

10 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$82.6K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Smart Money Size
$1.6K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.82 (82.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.17 (17.5% implied probability). The market has $83K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

10 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.6K. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 55.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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