Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
97 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 49% consensus betting NO. With $635.2K in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset. With 51 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 24Alpha Signal: HOLD
97 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (49%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.18 (18.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.81 (81.5% implied probability). The market has $1.7M in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?"?▾
97 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 49% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $635.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.