Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

YES Price
$0.23
22.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.78
77.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

15 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.5K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
285
Annualized
Smart Wallets
15

Alpha Signal: HOLD

15 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$341.6K
Liquidity
$15.6K
Smart Money Size
$2.5K
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.23 (22.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.78 (77.5% implied probability). The market has $342K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?"?

15 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.5K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram