Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?
CryptoLEAN YESAlpha: 202d left

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?

YES Price
$0.64
64.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.36
36.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 23.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.64. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.2K. With only 2 days until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
2
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$45.1K
Liquidity
$24.5K
Smart Money Size
$1.2K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.64 (64.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.36 (36.0% implied probability). The market has $45K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.2K. The alpha score is 20 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 20 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 23.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score20
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date3/21/2026

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