Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 16

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

YES Price
$0.24
24.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.76
76.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength68% YES

10 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 68% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 51.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.24. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.5K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 183%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 23
% Edge
23%
Days Left
102
Annualized
183%
Smart Wallets
10

Alpha Signal: HOLD

10 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (68%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$52.5K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Smart Money Size
$3.5K
Consensus Strength
68%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.24 (24.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.76 (76.0% implied probability). The market has $52K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?"?

10 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 68% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.5K. The alpha score is 16 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 16 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 51.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score16
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date6/30/2026

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