Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 4

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

YES Price
$0.28
28.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.71
71.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength59% NO

27 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 59% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 18.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.71. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $33.3K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 11
% Edge
11%
Days Left
235
Annualized
28%
Smart Wallets
27

Alpha Signal: HOLD

27 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (59%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$452.5K
Liquidity
$5.0K
Smart Money Size
$33.3K
Consensus Strength
59%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.28 (28.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.71 (71.5% implied probability). The market has $452K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?"?

27 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 59% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $33.3K. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 18.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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